New method to assess the longterm role of wind energy generation. Under the scenarios explored, widespread electrification of enduse services across the. Greenhouse gas emissions methodology and documentation greenhouse gas emissions crossroads hollywood methodology and documentation august 2016 page 2 ghgs including ghg emissions from employee transportation in accordance with public resources code section 21183c. Context factors influencing transportation ghg emissions the aeo reference case presented above is just one potential future scenario for transportation ghg emissions. Scenarios are business as usual bau, collect and dispose scenario cds, recycling scenario res, reduce and substitute scenario rss, and system change scenario scs. It focuses even more than previous ones on the energy, transport and climate dimensions of eu developments and the various interactions. The reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg emissions trend to 2050 full report 16 august 2016 the reference scenario summary of main results. Guidelines for estimating greenhouse gas emissions of asian. Annual ghgemissions growth in the global energy supply sector accelerated from 1. The main source of energy consumption data is the annual digest of uk energy statistics dukes. In 2016, deployment of new storage capacity, mostly battery technologies, grew by more than 50%.
The 2016 climate action plan for germany, adopted on 14 november 2016, introduced sector targets for greenhouse gas ghg emissions. Global status report 2017 world green building council. Jan 11, 2016 ebrd has adopted the framework for a harmonized approach to greenhouse gas accounting and has endorsed the working groups approach papers for the renewable energy, energy efficiency and transport sectors. Without massive and rapid efforts the set targets will not be achieved. Coal use in power alone surpassed 10 gt co 2, mostly in. Energy information administration international energy outlook 2016 energy related co2 emissions some of the specific details, such as renewable energy goals, in the ieo2016 reference case. Call for tender data archival and documentation of working group i contribution to ar6 data archival and documentation of the ipcc sixth assessment report of working group i. Protocol, ghg emissions grew more rapidly between 2000 and 2010 than in the previous decade. In order to help you assess the emissions footprint associated with your energy consumption, portfolio manager incorporates a number of metrics to quantify. Decarbonising urban mobility with land use and transport policies. Process non energy ghg emissions occur during the manufacture of certain materials and are not associated with energy. Effects of battery manufacturing on electric vehicle lifecycle. Eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg. The air pollutant projections reflect our action to reduce air pollution.
Carbon dioxide co 2 from fossil fuel combustion is responsible for almost all greenhouse gas ghg emissions from transportation sources. Transportation ghg emissions and trends us department of. Notice of 2021 agm and shell energy transition strategy. In canada, the energy used by commercial, institutional, and residential buildings accounts for 17% of canadas greenhouse gas ghg emissions. Eu energy, transport and ghg emissions, trends to 2050. Life cycle greenhouse gas perspective on exporting liquefied natural gas from the united states may 29, 2014. Energy system integration and enhanced demand response will bring new opportunities for optimisation and increased efficiency in delivering services. The plan states that the energy supply must be almost completely decarbonised by 2050, with. Driven by higher energy demand in 2018, global energy related co2 emissions rose 1. The graph below summarizes ghg projections under two different scenarios, the reference case and additional measures case, and compares them to the 2015 reference case projections that the government presented in canadas br2 2015the last year before the pancanadian framework was established. Greenhouse gas inventory and tracking in portfolio manager.
Data analysed from 224 projects 173 on renewable energy and 51 on energy efficiency show how these efforts have reduced emissions by displacing fossil fuel energy production with clean energy. The report provides a reference case projection of emissions through 2030 and shows that, with policies and measures in place. By increasing the installed capacity of renewables to 175gw by 2022, india will be able to surpass its ndc target of achieving 40% nonfossil. Emission factors efs used to estimate greenhouse gas ghg emissions in london were obtained from beis, ipcc and other emission factors databases. Strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from road. Ghg emissions may be affected by a wide range of factors, some under varying degrees of influence by transportation agen cies, such as speed, congestion, infrastructure. Petroleum industry guidelines for reporting greenhouse gas emissions 5th floor, 209215 blackfriars road, london se1 8nl, united kingdom telephone.
In the absence of ambitious steps towards decarbonisation, the 2016 eu reference scenario highlights that by 2050 road transport could account for the largest. Priority 3 a shadow price on carbon emissions to guide. Provide recommendations for the plastic manufacturing sector on ways to reduce the environmental costs of plastics. Directive 200933ec of the european parliament and of the council of 23 april 2009 on the promotion of clean and energy efficient road transport vehicles.
Eu reference scenario 2016 publications office of the eu. Total ghg emissions from urban transport falls by 32% the outcome of fewer total kilometres travelled and a shift towards electric vehicles. Complete g reenhouse gas neutrality is to be achieved by 2050. Transportation energy use and emissions are determined by three elements. Documentation for greenhouse gas emission and energy factors. Policies to reduce emissions from the transportation sector. L the paper describes transportation ghg emissions from the following perspectives.
This report is an update of the previous reference scenario published in 20. Reducing ghg emissions from transportation, which comprise one third of total u. Documentation for greenhouse gas emission and energy factors used in the waste reduction model warm containers, packaging, and nondurable good materials chapters february 2016 prepared by icf international for the u. Updated energy and emissions projections 2018 uk department for business energy. Greenhouse gas emissions methodology and documentation. As shown in the following table, fossil fuel co2 accounts for 95 percent of mobile source ghg emissions. A mitigation scenario represents future greenhouse gas emissions with the assumption of the introduction of certain policies and measures reducing greenhouse gas emissions with respect to some baseline or reference scenarios a framework used to represent the operation andor the characteristics andor the reactions of. Longterm bioethanol system and its implications on ghg. The future of transport in the european commissions 2050 strategy. Assessment and reporting on greenhouse gas emissions. Under this scenario, emissions would be 673 million tonnes in 2030, a 28 million tonnes improvement from the 2018 projections. Environmental protection agency office of resource conservation and recovery.
The eu reference scenario 2016 report capros et al. In discussions on climate change, we tend to focus on carbon dioxide co 2 the most dominant greenhouse gas produced by the burning of fossil fuels, industrial production, and land use change. Its time horizon as in the 20 version is up to 2050 and it includes all eu28 member. It focuses on the eu energy system, transport and greenhouse gas ghg emission developments, including specific sections on emission trends not related to energy, and on the various interactions among policies in these sectors. Ghg emission factors of bioethanol derived from cassava, molasses, and sugar cane are analyzed using 12 scenarios covering the critical variables possibly affecting the ghg performance, i. We cover co 2 global emissions, annual, cumulative, per capita, and consumptionbased emissions in great detail in our co 2 emissions page but co 2 is not the only greenhouse gas that is. Greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions projections. We simulate the evolution of the power system both with and without an assumed power sector cap on ghg emissions of 83% below the 2005 level by 2050. When factoring in all ghg emissions, transport co2 emissions accounted for approximately 14.
We publish canadas greenhouse gas ghg and air pollutant emissions projections each year. In addition to the traditional factors like technological progress, demographic, economic, political and institutional considerations, there is another aspect of the modern energy forecasts related to the coverage, timing, and stringency of policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants. The 2050 strategy central aim is to guide european. Erm report ghg emissions in the power and transport sectors. Analysis and valuation of the health and climate change. Crude oil is currently transported primarily by pipelines and rail from extraction sites to refineries around the world. The most recent full year of data is 2017 published july 2018. Germany aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 40 % by 2020 and by at least 55 % by 2030 compared to 1990 emission levels. Cec5002018012 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040 2042 2044 2046 2048 2050 hydrogen building electrification other transport electric vehicles baseload net of ee 0 100 200 300 400 500 600. Ghg emissions from energy used to transport materials, and 3 non energy ghg emissions resulting from manufacturing processes.
Emission scenarios of a potential shale gas industry in. Energy prices are available in the web data tables on this page, which support the guidance on the valuation of energy use and greenhouse gas emissions for appraisal. Scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric. This projection assumes governments take no further climate action from september 2019 on. In the 2016 reference scenario, aviation is treated very. Building energy codes updated or implemented in 2016 or 2017. Global energy related co2 emissions were 2% higher in december 2020 than in the same month a year earlier, according to iea data, driven by economic recovery and a lack of clean energy policies. The plan states that the energy supply must be almost completely decarbonised by 2050, with renewables as its main source.
Emissions from road transport, which make up 95% of transport emissions, have been relatively stable over the last 5 years 20142019 at an average of 11. Petroleum industry guidelines for reporting greenhouse gas. The main contributors to this trend were a higher energy demand associated with rapid economic growth. Private versus shared, automated electric vehicles for u. It focuses even more than previous ones on the energy, transport and climate dimensions of eu developments and the various. The ghg emissions projections help us measure progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and combating climate change. The inventory is usually comprised of these factors. Energy economics, nuertingen geislingen university, technische universitat darmstadt.
Press release after steep drop last year, global carbon emissions have rebounded strongly. This includes the united states greenhouse gas intensity goal through 2012 and the first commitment period of the kyoto protocol, which also ends in. This research evaluates energy use and greenhouse gas ghg emissions for three scenarios synthetic crude oil and dilbit with and without diluent return in which 750 000 bpd of albertas bitumen is transported 3000 km to determine which method has a lower environmental. Eu energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2050 6 eu reference scenario 2016 2. Energy, transport, ghg emissions and trends to 2050.
Our geographical reference is the european union eu or, if indicated. We therefore report energy consumptiontrends against a comparison year of 2017. Average indirectwtt emission factors for fuels resulting from the production, transport and distribution. The ghg emissions intensity metric and its weight 10% will remain. Pdf on jul 19, 2016, panagiotis fragkos published eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2050. This makes commercial buildings an important target for organizations. All scenarios and associated reference cases will include the continuation of current government programs both within and outside the u. The transportation sector represents the fastestgrowing segment of the worlds ghg emissions, accounting for 23% of global energy related carbon dioxide emissions in 2014, with car sales set to more than double by 2050. Power sector volume 1 of the environment baseline summarizes greenhouse gas ghg emissions from the electric power system, including emissions from the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity, as well as a brief discussion of lifecycle emissions. Energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2050. Life cycle analysis of bitumen transportation to refineries. Eu reference scenario 2016 energy, transport and ghg emissions trends to 2050. Publications of the leggi between 2000 and 2019 reporting on 2017 emissions, reported for the two major emission sectors in london.
Unep guidelines for calculating ghg emissions 3 through the financial services initiatives, unep is catalysing action by banks and insurers to identify innovative responses to climate change, including changing investment patterns, with the aim of greater sustainability, energy efficiency and increased use of renewable energy. The reference scnerario presentation of main results. View previous projections and associated work on the national archives website. Demographic change in the eu between 2011 and 2016. Reducing these emissions is paramount to ensuring a sustainable. The 2019 reference case projects ghg emissions based on federal, provincial, and territorial policies and measures that were in place as of september 2019.
The main sour ce of emissions statistics is the greenhouse gas inventory, updated each february. The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation. The greenhouse gas emissions scenarios described in the report have been used to make projections of possible future climate change. Documentation for greenhouse gas emission and energy. Our geographical reference is the european union eu. The european commission does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in these interactive graphs, developed by external contractors, nor does it accept responsibility for any use made thereof. Eu road vehicle energy consumption and co2 emissions by 2050. This report is an update and extension of the previous trend scenarios for development of energy systems taking account of transport and ghg emissions developments. Analytical methods road transport accounts for approximately 80% of co 2 emissions emanating from transport, which corresponds to more than 20% of total emissions. Ghg emissions projections are presented for a few scenarios. Pdf eu reference scenario 2016energy, transport and ghg. By transportation mode, trip purpose, and economic activity e. The report provides a reference case projection of emissions through 2030 and shows that, with policies and measures in place as of november 1, 2016, total canadian ghg emissions would be 731 megatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent mt co2eq in 2020 and 742 mt in 2030.
Co2 emissions, will need to be a key part of any strategy to limit economywide emissions. Apr 12, 2016 an emissions inventory identifies and quantifies the sources and sinks e. The latest businessasusual or reference projection for the eu made in. The special report on emissions scenarios sres is a report by the intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc that was published in 2000.
Evaluating scenarios toward zero plastic pollution science. Guidelines for estimating greenhouse gas emissions of asian development bank projects additional guidance for clean energy projects developing asia has the worlds fastestgrowing rate of greenhouse gas emissions, with the leading driver being emissions from power generation. Transport environmental protection agency, ireland. Annual projections of greenhouse gas emissions and energy demand. Stationary energy homes and workplaces and transport. While emissions from all fossil fuels increased, the power sector accounted for nearly twothirds of emissions growth. Buildingsrelated co2 emissions have continued to rise by. The widespread application of digital technologies can help accelerate this transformation. The study evaluates greenhouse gas ghg emissions performance of future bioethanol systems in thailand to ascertain whether bioethanol for transport could help the country mitigate a global warming impact. The ar5 furthermore defines a baseline as the reference. Projected total energy related emissions in 2030 measured in gtco 2eq were 40.
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